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How much rebate money is quietly leaking?

Foodservice distributors typically earn 2–4% of eligible purchases in supplier rebates. The question is how much of that pool you actually capture. Size your gap in four inputs, with the math shown.

$ million / yr

Produce and government business typically carries no rebate programs. A produce-heavy house might be 50%.

2%4%

Distributors we work with typically earn 2–4% of eligible purchases; large broadliners more.

Used to tailor the model we send, not in the math.

Analyst headcount tied up tracking, re-keying, and entering rebate payments.

Estimated annual leakage

$510K $765K

8–12% capture gap on a $6.4M rebate pool (3.0% of the eligible 85% of $250M purchases)

Anchored to real recoveries: distributors we work with have recovered $150K–$200K on $50–60M of rebatable purchases.

Every assumption editable, every number shown. Take it and check it against your own statements.

Booking blind vs. the pool you actually earn

Booked blind

$2.5M

A house that doesn't track typically books a flat ~1% of COGS and hopes.

Pool you earn

$6.4M

The rebate pool at 3.0% of eligible purchases.

The distance between hoping and verifying is where the leakage above lives.

Where distributors find it

Buying-group statement short-pays

$179K - $268K

Lines paid below program terms, surfaced by reconciliation

Missed tier thresholds

$128K - $191K

Programs finishing just short of the next band

Redistributor (DOT) attribution

$102K - $153K

Brand-program volume credited to the invoice vendor

Program structure: fixed vs growth

$102K - $153K

Programs left on flat terms your volume has outgrown

Illustrative split of the total, based on where distributors we work with have actually found it. Directional, not a quote.

And the time, kept separate

Your 1 FTE on rebates — tracking, re-keying, and payment entry — is roughly $85K/yr of loaded analyst cost at $85K each. We keep that out of the dollars above on purpose: recovered money and freed time are different claims.

$85K

analyst time / yr

Get the full model

The assumptions behind every number, how to verify each mechanism against your own statements, and the recovery playbook. Opens right here.